Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.034731 0.039251 0.044257 0.050233 0.057202 0.065102 0.074784
2024-11-03 0.028124 0.034250 0.041677 0.051434 0.064055 0.080017 0.102039
2024-11-10 0.024463 0.031342 0.040214 0.052688 0.070087 0.093969 0.130087
2024-11-17 0.021508 0.028643 0.038297 0.052613 0.073825 0.104970 0.155871
2024-11-24 0.019059 0.026191 0.036228 0.051784 0.076046 0.113797 0.179870
2024-12-01 0.017444 0.024658 0.035177 0.052156 0.079932 0.125594 0.211002
2024-12-08 0.016040 0.023242 0.034075 0.052210 0.083184 0.136747 0.243381
2024-12-15 0.014939 0.022145 0.033302 0.052623 0.087000 0.149413 0.281499
2024-12-22 0.013496 0.020365 0.031243 0.050593 0.086172 0.153370 0.302958
2024-12-29 0.013076 0.020162 0.031701 0.052923 0.093576 0.174307 0.366154
2025-01-05 0.011909 0.018631 0.029784 0.050763 0.092098 0.177093 0.388619
2025-01-12 0.011074 0.017582 0.028589 0.049781 0.092775 0.184479 0.424231
2025-01-19 0.010184 0.016421 0.027183 0.048421 0.092874 0.191515 0.463747
2025-01-26 0.009736 0.015997 0.027070 0.049594 0.098614 0.212970 0.551377
2025-02-02 0.009334 0.015613 0.026983 0.050796 0.104628 0.236580 0.655615
2025-02-09 0.008812 0.014964 0.026325 0.050724 0.107714 0.253583 0.746927
2025-02-16 0.008258 0.014208 0.025388 0.049930 0.108947 0.265990 0.828656
2025-02-23 0.007884 0.013757 0.025002 0.050287 0.113069 0.287549 0.955122
2025-03-02 0.007510 0.013276 0.024509 0.050337 0.116429 0.307845 1.088393
2025-03-09 0.007201 0.012896 0.024185 0.050733 0.120779 0.332467 1.255511
2025-03-16 0.006700 0.012102 0.022934 0.048790 0.118424 0.335011 1.323995
2025-03-23 0.006608 0.012117 0.023389 0.051020 0.128225 0.381250 1.639792
2025-03-30 0.006161 0.011380 0.022166 0.048953 0.125175 0.381617 1.714184